Thursday 20 December 2012

10am update - morning weakness

Despite the small attempt at an opening rally, the market is slipping lower. So far, its just a minor follow through, but a break into the sp'1420s is very viable as the day goes on. A VIX close in the 18s would be a warning of trouble tomorrow.


sp'60min



sp'daily5


Summary

A relatively quiet open, but there is certainly some good moves in individual stocks and commodities.

Of special note today is Gold, which is almost at my primary 158 target.



Considering equties aren't even below sp'1400, I'd look for GLD in the low 140s/130s in spring 2013. That is a very bold deflationary outlook though. First things first..lets see if 158 holds.
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Keep an eye on a few of the stocks I been highlighting over the past few days...

BTU, ANR, HPQ, and GE. The last one, is especially presenting the most bearish individual chart out there.

UPDATE 10.22am ..Metal bugs are going to be mad as hell now...

SLV getting hammered..



There really isn't much of a floor until the summer lows

UPDATE Gold...



The big monthly chart is now seriously bearish..target would be the low 130s by early spring