Monday 11 December 2017

Sleepy Monday

US equity indexes closed moderately mixed, sp +8pts at 2659. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -0.3% and -0.1% respectively. VIX settled -2.5% at 9.34. Near term outlook offers a little cooling to the sp'2640/30s. More broadly, new historic highs in the 2670/80s are due before year end.


sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

It was a rather sleepy start to the week, with pretty subdued price action. Of the six main indexes, 4 were net higher, whilst the Trans/R2K settled a little weak. I'd argue the latter two are an early warning of (moderate) weakness in the main market within a day or two.

Market volatility remained very subdued, with the VIX lower for a fifth day. Having seen 9.28 this afternoon, its no stretch to see the 8s... or even the 7s within the near term, if only on a 'flash print' basis. Those often happen with an FOMC announcement of course, as is due this Wed' at 2pm.

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Goodnight from London
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