Thursday 5 March 2020

Renewed horror

US equity indexes closed powerfully lower, sp -106pts (3.4%) at 3023. Nasdaq comp' -3.1%. Dow -3.6%. The Transports settled -5.3%.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened very significantly lower, with further Corona related headlines. With the US 10yr yield printing 0.89%, equities were increasingly pressured lower into the late afternoon.



Gundlach made an appearance on the CNBC lunchtime show...


Gundlach believes the Fed will cut by another -50bps to 0.50-0.75% at the FOMC of March 18th, and I could agree with that. Gundlach ended with "I applaud Jay Powell, and I do not believe he will go to negative interest rates".... of which I do NOT agree, as the Fed appear tragically content to follow Japan and Europe.

The afternoon saw further downside to sp'2999 with VIX 42s, with a little recovery spike into the close. Volatility picked up, with the VIX settling +23.8% at 39.62.


Meanwhile...


Map/data: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

South Korea, Italy, and Iran, remain key secondary outbreaks. It won't be long until France, Germany, the UK, and USA have similar numbers.

Finally, the war between two billionaires continues...


Link: https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1235633381595066373

The year is 2020, and that is all I have got to say 'bout that.
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Goodnight from London
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