Thursday 22 March 2018

Yet another thorny Thursday

US equity indexes closed very significantly lower, sp -68pts (2.5%) at 2643. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -2.8% and -2.2% respectively. VIX settled +30.7% at 23.34. Near term outlook threatens further weakness, although a number of key signal stocks are highly supportive of renewed upside across the spring.


sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

Thursdays do tend to favour the bears, with equities opening moderately lower, seeing a morning low of 2661, and then rallying to 2689, negating half of the declines. The selling resumed in the afternoon, with the market seeing an especially ugly closing hour, settling at the lows.

Volatility naturally picked up, and accelerated into the close, settling in the 23s, the highest level since March 2nd (when sp'2647).


notable market: Germany, monthly


With five trading days left of the month, the DAX is -2.7% at 12100. Note the key 10MA at 12622. Another monthly settlement under that MA would merit alarm bells for Germany, the other EU markets, and to some extent... the US.
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No sunshine for the equity bulls
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Goodnight from London
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