Tuesday 17 September 2019

Tier'1 LMCG

US equity indexes closed a little mixed, sp +7pts (0.2%) at 3005. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow +0.1%.  The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -0.2% and -0.4% respectively.




Aside from the powerful retracement in WTIC, which pulled the related energy stocks lower, it was a day of micro churn in equity land. The SPX saw a trading range of just 12.48pts. Volatility was itself very subdued, with the VIX settling -1.6% at 14.44.

Tier'1 LMCG

CNBC are naturally continuing to give some attention to the going IPO debacle that is WeWork (ticker symbol: WE... if it ever gets listed).

When you consider some of the other loss making IPOs in market history, its pretty incredible...

UBER, WeWork, LYFT, NIO, and SNAP, are all multi-billion companies that can't turn a profit. *Genuity dates back to 2000: see https://money.cnn.com/2000/06/28/deals/genuity/

Many of these same companies have multiple tiers of stock, each with different voting rights, which I find especially contemptible.

However, even yours truly would not compare the current market to the truly insane tech bubble of 1999/2000.

Perhaps the key question is which of the remaining quintet of tier'1 loss making corporate garbage, will not survive the next recession (whenever that might be)?  WeWork and NIO look doomed, and I still see SNAP as similar to MySpace. I would expect UBER and LYFT to eventually merge.

Whilst many seem intent to invest/trade in tier'1 LMCG, there is lot to be said for a nice boring Dow component, such as DIS, MSFT, or HD.

More leaving the land of geo-political chaos

Sunset, 6.57pm BST

The mighty moon!
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Goodnight from London
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