Wednesday 16 January 2019

Facing resistance

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, sp +5pts (0.2%) at 2616. Dow +0.6%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.5% and +0.6% respectively. Near term outlook offers a s/t top, with minimum downside of around 5%.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened a little higher, and battled upward to 2623, and then went into chop mode.. which continued into the afternoon.

Volatility broke a new cycle low of 17.76, but settled +2.4% at 19.04. S/t outlook offers a key top within the 2620/50 zone, and then swinging powerfully lower. In theory, minimum downside target has to be the 2474/47 zone.


Meanwhile, It was another day of political turmoil within the UK. 

Post vote... the UK House of Commons
Whilst the UK government survived the no confidence vote by 325 to 306, it does nothing to solve the underlying BREXIT crisis. The UK govt' remain unable to pass any legislation for some kind of UK-EU deal.

As things are, it would seem that BREXIT (scheduled March 29th) will be delayed, regardless of whether there is a general election before end March or not

Finally, it still would appear that Corbyn - leader of the Labour Party, appears on track to be the next PM... whenever the next election might be.


... and thats all I've got to say about that.
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Goodnight from London
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