Friday 24 February 2017

Chronically low volatility

US equity indexes closed broadly mixed, sp +1pt at 2363 (intra high 2368). The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled lower by -1.2% and -0.6% respectively. VIX settled -0.3% at 11.71. Near term outlook is bullish into early March, as the sp'2400s and Dow 21000s are well within range.




It was another day for the equity bulls, as despite some notable weakness in the Trans and R2K, the Dow and sp'500 broke new historic highs. For now, there is still zero reason to expect any threat of a short term top until the latter half of next week.. aka... March!

No teens this month

As things are, we've still not even seen the low teens this month. The last time that happened was June 2014.

VIX, monthly

For the moment, there is absolutely zero sign of the post election equity hyper-ramp maxing out. By default.. until the market stops going up, the VIX is going to remain extremely subdued.

Goodnight from London