Thursday 27 October 2016

2160s - lets get it over with

US equity indexes closed broadly weak, sp -3pts @ 2139 (intra low 2131). The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled lower by -0.6% and -0.9% respectively. VIX settled +5.8% @ 14.24. Near term outlook still threatens a test of resistance around 2160, before broader downside to 2080/70 in early November.




The market opened moderately lower, but cyclically, it was always going to be the case that the bears were liable to see the market reverse back upward.

It would still seem that Mr Market wants to wash out another tranche of short-stops, at multiple aspects of resistance - around sp'2160, before seeing some significant weakness into early November.

Three trading days left of October


The sp'500 is currently set for a third consecutive net monthly decline. That sure ain't bullish, but neither is ongoing price action significantly bearish.On balance, a weak first half of November.. but then climbing into end month, even as the Fed' are set to raise rates at the FOMC of Dec'14th.

The real question is.... does a interest rate target range of 50-75bps merit as 'full emergency'... or only 'semi-emergency' ?

Goodnight from London