Tuesday 9 April 2019

Unicorn Tuesday

US equity indexes closed broadly weak, sp -17pts (0.6%) at 2878. Nasdaq comp' -0.6%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -0.9% and -1.2% respectively. Near term outlook offers the 2840/30s by late Thursday.




It was a bearish day in equity land, opening moderately weak, and then seeing a lot of chop. The afternoon broke a new intraday low as the bulls were unable (a novelty in itself) to rally to new cycle highs. Volatility picked up, but the VIX still only saw the mid 14s. On balance, the sp'2840/30s should equate to VIX 15/16s late tomorrow or Thursday.

Unicorn Tuesday

It was national unicorn day (at least in the US), and mainstream attention was again looking ahead to a number of companies whom are seeking to get listed in the months ahead.

Pinterest (PINS) is set to appear April 18th. I'm guessing UBER will appear in September... just before a rate cut. As for Slack, its an interesting service, but that one looks especially vulnerable. To be clear, whilst I'm fiercely bearish most of the loss making Unicorns, some of them clearly have long term futures, not least UBER. Personally, I'd always favour an established company, one with a history of profits and steady growth. There is a lot to be said for the boring Dow components.

More fleeing the chaos of the UK

Coming in hot!
Hazy moon. Full moon will be 'Good Friday' April 19th
Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
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