Tuesday 9 January 2018

Day six for the equity bulls

US equity indexes closed a little mixed, sp +3pts at 2751. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.2% and -0.1% respectively. VIX settled +7.3% at 10.08. Near term outlook offers a little weak chop, but the 2800s are clearly on the menu for February.




US equities opened just a little higher, but once again, it was enough to generate new historic highs in all six of the main indexes I regularly highlight. Underlying m/t price momentum remains 'scary strong'. The sp'2800s will be technically viable in February.

Market volatility is naturally subdued, with the VIX sustainably printing the 9s. Does anyone seriously think the key 20 threshold is viable before the market at least hits sp'2950/3047 zone?  

I fully recognise almost none of you care, but this remains very important...

Italy, monthly

The MIB is currently net higher for Jan' by a rather powerful 5.3% at 23004. A monthly close >24k (by late spring) will be profoundly important for the Italian market, but also most other world markets to some degree. Its not just Italy of course, there is Russia, China... the list could go on.

Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EST) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London

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