Tuesday 25 June 2019

VIX threatening problems

US equity indexes closed broadly weak, sp -28pts (0.9%) at 2917. Nasdaq comp' -1.5%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -0.9% and -0.6% respectively.




US equities opened in minor chop mode, but then leaned weak into the late afternoon. Comments from Bullard - that a 50bps cut in July would be 'overdone', didn't help.

Volatility picked up, with the VIX settling +6.7% at 16.28. Daily momentum is set to turn positive within 1-2 days, and that does offer a push to the key 20 threshold, and that would clearly bode for sig' equity downside.

Meanwhile... the US President continues to tout equities, and thanks himself for this.

As noted yesterday, it won't take much more than a 4-5% cooling wave to see Trump riled up, and calling for Powell to be replaced by uber-doves Bullard or Kashkari.

Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
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