Wednesday 18 March 2020

Midweek upset

US equity indexes closed severely lower, sp -131pts (5.2%) at 2398. Nasdaq comp' -4.7%. Dow -6.3%. The Transports settled -6.6%.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened severely lower, and despite a few bounce attempts, the market completely unravelled into the afternoon, effectively in crash mode, not least within the transportation stocks, many of which were -20 to -40%.


RE: a shutdown. I expect a US shutdown of 2-3 weeks, a full month would be better. The UK could be expected to enact a lockdown before the US.

The CNBC interview...



The afternoon saw the 7% circuit breakers kick in, with price spiraling to outright crash-scale declines, with a 2pm hour low of 2280, swinging to 2409, and settling -131pts (5.2%) at 2389.

Volatility printed a new multi-decade high of 85.47, the VIX settling +0.7% at 76.45. Technically, next major support is not until the summer 2015 high of the 2134s.

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Goodnight from London
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