Wednesday 24 May 2017

Still set for a swing lower

US equities closed moderately higher, sp +4pts at 2398 (intra high 2400). The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled higher by 0.5% and 0.3% respectively. VIX settled -1.9% at 10.72. Near term outlook offers a sig' wave lower to the sp'2340s.


sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

A fourth consecutive net daily gain for the sp', having fully filled the gap from last Wednesday. The psy' level of 2400 is a clear resistance threshold. The 50dma is 2370, with the lower bollinger at 2367.. those are the first soft targets within 1-2 days.

Market volatility was ground lower for a fourth day, with the VIX stuck in the 10s. Cyclically, we're due a bearish MACD cross within 1-2 days, but my guess is that instead we'll see a powerful surge in the VIX.. back to the 15/16s.
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Another piece of my childhood has gone...




I was always a fan of the bond intro' themes.
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After yesterday night's event in Manchester, today's warm sunshine was a welcome relief.

Goodnight from London
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