Thursday 31 January 2019

January settles positive

US equity indexes settled January on a broadly positive note, sp +23pts (0.9%) at 2704. Nasdaq comp' +1.4%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -0.2% and +0.8% respectively. Near term outlook offers the 200dma in the sp'2740s.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

Equities opened in minor chop mode, but with the bears still powerless after the dovish Fed/Powell, the market resumed upward, and broke a new cycle high of sp'2708. The afternoon saw weak chop.

Volatility broke a new cycle low, settling in the 16s.

In AH... news of Trump with the Chinese vice-premier...


Even if a trade agreement is reached in Feb/March, whilst it would likely be a s/t boost to equity prices, it will do nothing of any significance to stall the global econ-cooling. Neither will further threats of QT adjustment or no more rate hikes from Print Central.
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Goodnight from London
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