Friday, 25 May 2012

10am update - VIX holding up surprisingly well

Market still yet to break above the important 1330 level. Interestingly, VIX is holding up very well so far today -even after the good survey data...

*Consumer Sentiment data: 79.3 vs 77.8 expected, highest reading since October 2007. Yep, we're back to those 'happy days' again. Maybe its time to start flipping houses once a month?


Sp'60min



VIX'60min



Summary

There again seems to be a growing consensus out there that we are still in a wave'4, with a 5' still to come. I suppose if that is the case, a 'capitulation day', next Friday, at the next big jobs report release?

Now, wave'2 (if that's what it was) lasted 3.5 days before the market slipped away on Friday May'11. Currently, we're 4 days into this sideways move...or just 2 - if you are look at the Dow (which was the one index that made a new low on Wednesday morning).
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I'm inclined to believe we will still slip at least little lower next week, before a larger wave'2 UP.

More across the day..