Wednesday 7 October 2015

10am update - pushing toward 2000

US equities open moderately higher, with the sp'500 set to break into the 2000s today. First key resistance on the hourly/daily cycles is 2015... and by this Friday that will be around 2020/25. A test of the 200dma in the 2050/60s looks increasingly probable.


sp'60min


sp'daily5


Summary

*a clear fail of yesterday's baby bear flag. I'm not sure how some of you wave counters would now redefine everything from last Friday, but clearly.. we're headed UP.
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So.. opening gains, and it looks like we'll break into the sp'2000s today.

For now, this is once again a juggernaut of a market.. as the bears are being systematically ground out.

Again.. the ultimate issue is can the market retake the monthly 10MAs... Dow >17400.. with sp >2050. I'm guessing no... but that issue will (obviously) be more important at end month.
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notable strength: FCX, +7.4%... as the chasers are starting to get involved.

Fellow copper miner.. TCK +20%.. but then $7 remains a 'destroyed level', relative to last year.
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*eyes on the EIA oil report.. due 10.30am... if market likes the number... Oil will be testing $50.. and that sure will help give an sp' daily close in the 2000s.
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10.05am... sp' breaks the 50dma (1996)...

Head cheerleader on CNBC - Sara Eisen, is visibly exbulient as there is an IPO at the NYSE.
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notable weakness, AAPL, -0.3%... which is really lousy performance relative to main market. It bodes good for the AAPL-bears in the next down cycle.

... makes me wonder about earnings... esp' the outlook. hmmm
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10.27am.. another notable loser.. TSLA -4% in the $231s.... not great.

10.32am.. Oil, net surplus, 3.1 million barrels... oil cooling, but still +0.7%

Equities still looking on track for sp'2000 today.