Friday 12 December 2014

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are moderately lower, sp -13pts, we're set to open at 2022. If equity bears are going to have a chance of 2000 before the FOMC, a weekly close in the 2020/10s will be necessary. VIX looks set for secondary target zone of 22/25.


sp'daily3 - fib retrace


vix'daily3


Summary

*awaiting PPI and consumer sentiment data
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Equity futures have been pretty weak overnight, although certainly nothing too dramatic.. yet.

As has often been the case this year, the market tends to put in a cycle low a week ahead of opex.. on Thurs/Friday. Riley (Mr Topstep) has been a leader in highlighting this.

It is certainly possible we could hit sp'2000 today. A washout... with VIX somewhere in the 22/25 zone... before broader equity strength resumes.
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Notable early strength: airlines, UAL +1.8%... as Oil continues to slip, -0.8%.

Weakness, Alcoa (AA,) -0.8%, set to lose the 15s... 200dma in the 14.90s is due to be tested.
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Good wishes for Friday... its almost the weekend :)

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8.34am Equity futures continue to slip, sp-16pts, 2019.  VIX set to open in the 22s

Oil -1.2%..in the $58s
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9.21am... Set to open -14pts around 2021.   Oil continues to slip, -1.6%

9.33am... Notably.. VIX only opens +2%.... hmmmm     Thats not good for those in bear land.. need 10% at least.


9.35am... ... and the VIX turns red.

Still... sp'2000 remains the 'natural target'....