Friday, 12 December 2014

10am update - opening reversal

Equities open lower, but there is a reversal from the open, not least reflected in the VIX swinging from 20.67 to 19.04. Oil remains under severe pressure, -2.0%. Metals are cooling, Gold -$3... despite a weak USD -0.5%.


sp'60min


VIX'60min


Summary

So... opening declines, but a clear reversal underway.

The only issue is whether it will reverse some time after late morning.. I would guess.. yes, but for those day traders out there.. they'd surely already have bailed at the open.
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The 'natural' target remains the giant sp'2000 threshold, where the 50dma is lurking.
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Notable strength: Nat 'gas +2.4%
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sp' -3pts... 2031....  VIX 6% in the 18s....  a real fail for the bears.. worse than Tuesday!


10.13am.. Opening reversal itself is failing.

Very dynamic price action.  Bears need to push here.. break a new low.. along with VIX 21s.

Precious metals starting to follow Oil... Gold -$8... miners... following, GDX -1.2%


10.18am.. complete failure of the reversal... new lows... VIX turning positive.