Wednesday, 30 July 2014

11am update - morning reversal

US equities have seen yet another reversal - much in the style of yesterday. Yet.. it is the typical turn time of 11am, with price action that remains nothing particularly bearish. VIX is relatively subdued +3% in the 13.60s.


sp'60min


VIX'60min


Summary

*opening reversal candle on the VIX... so.. for those who are bearish...I can kinda understand if you're getting excited right now
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Well, its another day where the minor waves are at least keeping everyone awake.

Typically..we'll turn around 11am... so...lets see....
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Notable strength: TWTR +21%, but only in the $46s.... a long way below the AH high in the $51s.


11.05am.. need 1970 to clarify a turn... until then.. threat of 1962/60....

Regardless.. none of it changes the bigger outlook.


11.10am... where is my spike floor?

*metals remain weak ahead of the next QE taper... Gold -$7.


11.17am.. provisional spike floor of 1963...still need 1970s... to clarify a turn.


11.23am.. almost clarified a turn.....


Bears had a bonus opportunity to exit after the GDP data.... there can be no excuses later this week.


11.40am.. still no clear turn...quite yet... sp'1967... need the 1970s.