Monday, 31 March 2014

1pm update - VIX back into the 13s

With sp' seeing a further micro up wave to the mid 1870s, the VIX has been duly knocked lower, back to the levels from last Wed' morning. The two leaders - Trans/R2K are seeing some very significant gains, with the Trans once again close to breaking a new high.


VIX'60min


Trans, daily


Summary

So... sp'1875 - which has been a key resistance level for the last FOUR weeks.

A daily close >1875 would be very bullish for Tuesday (not least if there is sig' QE-pomo tomorrow, although we won't know that until the new QE schedule at 3pm today).
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I remain short, but will get kicked out if >1884/85.

No point holding above there, since the next ceiling is probably somewhere in the 1950/75 area..by early May.
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1.20pm.. Who wants to go long right now..in the 1870s... hmmm ?

Thats what I thought.
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Lets see how we close the month...and quarter.

*notable weakness: TWTR, TSLA.  Certainly, the momo stocks aren't doing so great today.

Metals.. weak, Gold -$5..and a bearish monthly reversal..WILL occur.