sp'weekly8
Summary
I suppose I could drone on page after page about how those touting an 'imminent market crash' are idiots, but hey, I'll still call them out on it..at least a little.
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We have a very clear short term floor of sp'1815, and baring a daily close under that, it is absolutely ludicrous for anyone to be touting even a moderate market decline of 5-7%.
At best, it looks like we might slip 3-4%..but not until after the next FOMC...and even then, that will likely be from higher levels, somewhere in the sp'1860/80 zone. As I will keep noting, I still believe the short-side is untradeable until the late spring.
re: weekly'8. I'm holding to the idea that sub'4 will be no stronger than sub'2 - from Aug'2013. So, as long as the next cycle peak is at least >1870, then 1810/00 will likely hold as a key floor in February.
Looking ahead
There isn't any key econ-data due until Thursday.
*there is sig' QE-pomo of $2-3bn this Wednesday, bears...beware!
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A moody permabear
I'm getting real tired of the nonsense chatter out there. It seems what few of the old school 'doomer bears' that remain continue to have memory problems. A mere week after many got smashed on a strong Tuesday rebound, we saw a moderate, but similar recovery today.
I'm really not sure who I find more idiotic, the bears who are shorting into a primary upward trend, or the bull maniacs who think there is a genuine economic recovery.
Goodnight from London