Good morning. On any basis we're due some form of minor down cycle. More than likely though, bulls will comfortably hold above the old historic high of 1576. VIX is a touch higher, Oil is moderately lower, USD is lower, with the precious metals a touch higher.
sp'60min
vix'60min
Summary
As I noted last night, more than anything..those bears seeking a multi-week down cycle - which STILL includes yours truly, MUST be seeking a sp' weekly close back under 1580.
That is certainly possible, we're only talking about 0.5% lower.
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*I remain short USO, seeking an exit in the low 33s.
USO'60min
USO actually looks like a rather large H/S formation on both the hourly and daily charts. A break below the floor of 32.90s would bode bearish for the broader market.
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UPDATE 10.13am...lets see if we get that VIX gap-fill today, in the 11.70/60s..
Market hits 1591....Metals trying to break higher...gold +8...hmm