Thursday 27 September 2012

10am update - still a bear flag

Despite the opening gains, we still have a bear flag holding on the sp'500. The VIX is -3%, but is holding up okay in the 16s.


sp'60min



sp'daily5


VIX, daily, rainbow



Summary

Hmm, so, opening gains, but certainly nothing dramatic. Considering the daily and weekly index cycles, it is arguably a shorting opportunity, at least for a day-trade.

*The earlier GDP Q2 (revised) of 1.25%, and Durable Goods Orders of -13.2%...truly beyond dire. Clearly, the Fed believes the US is now in recession in Q3, and thats why it initiated QE3.
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VIX rainbow chart, still a green candle despite the opening declines, trend remains UP. I am most certainly looking for a brief spike to 18/19 either late today, or tomorrow. 

I hold to my original target of 1420 by the Friday close, and look to exit there.

back at 12pm