Friday 13 November 2015

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. US equity futures are a little weak, sp -4pts, we're set to open at 2041. USD is trying to stabilise, +0.1% in the DXY 98.70s. Commodities are bouncing, Gold +$2, whilst Oil is +0.4% in the $41s.


sp'60min



Summary

It is Friday the 13th, and for those who get easily spooked.... perhaps its best to stay in bed all day, with all windows/doors locked.

Seriously though, market still looks a little shaky... although I'm guessing today will end broadly flat.

VIX daily cycle though is still arguing for 20s... and that will equate to sp'2020s... but more viable... next Mon/Tuesday.
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notable early movers

Nordstrom (JWN) -21%.. after lousy earnings
Cisco Systems (CSCO) -5.9%.... post earnings upset

BAC -1.1%. as threat of rate hike lessens.
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Update from Oscar



I have followed Oscar since late 2008, and I certainly do respect his view. His comments in this video are somewhat spooky.

*the US market achieved a VERY powerful close last month, above the key 10MA. Yet... other world markets are yet to achieve that.

Certainly, I want to see NEW highs before year end in some indexes (Dow, sp, Nasdaq), along with other world markets also closing above their respective 10MAs. If not.... its a very serious problem.

For now.... I'm still guessing we battle broadly upward... helped by low rates and continuing QE (such as from the ECB and BoJ).
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Doomer chat with Hunter



I'll periodically slate Hunter for going soft on the Gold bugs (like the recent Hemke interview), but his end week news roundups are pretty good.
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Overnight Asia action

Japan: -0.5% @ 19596... a little weak into the weekend
China: -1.4% @ 3580. It will be VERY important for the Shanghai comp' to hold the 3400s.

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Have a good Friday.
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8.31am.. retail sales, m/m +0.1%.... weak.

PPI, -0.4%... pretty sig', not great for the macro-bulls.

Its not inspiring those seeking a rate hike.... BAC -1.4%