Wednesday 26 June 2013

11am update - battling it out

The main market may have maxed out @ sp'1603. Bears should be seeking a daily close under the hourly10MA, currently (still rising) @ 1587. Bulls should be concerned that the VIX has put in an hourly reversal candle..in the gap-zone no less.


sp'60min


vix'60min


Summary

Well, its an interesting situation. We've bounced a good 43pts off the Monday morning low, and for me, that was a valid place to go short.

There IS risk of upside to 1620s - as many realise, but I think the risk/reward is very reasonable.

*I am HEAVY short the main market from sp'1601, and via VIX 17.50s.

Seeking an exit in the sp'1550s, with VIX 23/25..within 3-5 trading days.


11.23am... still battling it out..just under 1600. This could easily last all day..even much of tomorrow.

What is clear though, we have a few pretty clear trends.

Bears need a VIX close >18.., 18.50s would be decisive, along with sp <1590.
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