VIX cools a little

With equity indexes closing moderately mixed, the VIX cooled, settling -2.1% @ 14.50 (intra high 15.49). Near term outlook is uncertain, not least because of the building Greek situation. The big VIX 20 threshold still looks out of range in the near term.


VIX'60min

VIX'daily3

Summary

*considering the ongoing 'Greek situation', the VIX remains bizarrely low.
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It was notable today to see a few large July VIX call blocks be picked up... as some are seeking to have protection against a Greek default within the near term.

The big VIX 20 threshold looks out of range in the current cycle.

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more later... on the indexes

Closing Brief

US equity indexes closed somewhat mixed, sp +4pts @ 2100 (intra low 2088). The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled lower by -0.4% and -0.1% respectively. Near term outlook remains uncertain, whilst Greece remains on the edge of a weekend default.


sp'60min

Summary

*closing hour.. minor chop.
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The second consecutive net daily gain for the sp'500, but with moderate weakness in the two market leaders.

Overall.. it is a bit of a mess. Until we're back over trend resistance of sp'2110 or so... there remains threat of renewed downside (if briefly).. purely due to increasing Greek concerns.

most notable aspect of the day... USD -0.8% in the DXY 94.20s.

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more later.. on the VIX

3pm update - transitory nonsense

The Fed have not surprisingly not raised rates, and instead have released a statement offering more rainbows and unicorns.. not for 2015.. but next year. Mr Market is seemingly more than pleased, and is rallying on the news.. not least helped by a bizarrely cooling USD, -0.7% @ DXY 94.30s.


sp'daily5

Summary

Yellen is so far placating the market, not least in terms of 'gradual rate hikes', whilst US growth is still being touted as strong.

Not surprisingly.. word of the day is 'Transitory'. For those playing the drinking game... please dial 911 within the closing hour.

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As for INTC which I have babbling about recently... its approaching an interesting zone.. but with broader market action... I sure ain't interested in meddling today. Will assess again tomorrow.

INTC, 60min

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updates into the close.............


3.06pm.. USD still cooling, -0.8%  @ DXY 94.20s... we are just 200bps from target zone of 92/90. A mid term turn looks on track for late June/early July.. and then .... 120s...which I realise sounds like 'crazy talk'... but then so was the notion of DXY 100.. last summer.


3.15pm.. Anyone else miss Bernanke?  Or is it just me?

sp'2102.... a lot of minor chop....  bulls are going to face the problem of 'who wants to hold long into the weekend'...

After all....Greece is going to default.... real soon.

... Transitory x6.. (but I might be losing count)
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3.18pm One of the media hacks has dared bring up the issue of the judge who ruled that Fed did not have authority to take control of AIG.

This guy won't likely be invited back for the more important Sept'17th FOMC/press conf.

notable strength: INTC, +1.2% in the low $32s... more on that one.. on my 'fair value' page after the close.
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3.22pm.. USD -0.9% @ DXY 94.10s..... amazing to see


3.25pm.. VIX -4%... the 13s look due before chance of a turn...


3.31pm.. and the CEO of print central... has concluded.

Market looks set to close moderately higher..... with sig' weakness in the USD
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3.47pm.. minor chop.... net gains still look due....   although R2K is -0.1%.

back at the close..