Saturday, 25 June 2016

Capital markets in shock

US equity indexes closed severely lower, sp -76pts at 2037 (intra low 2032). The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled lower by -4.6% and -3.8% respectively. VIX settled higher by an extremely powerful 49.3% @ 25.76. Near term outlook threatens a major Monday gap lower under 2025, to the 1950/25 zone, before the July 4th three day holiday break.




The Thursday close teased the bull maniacs with a viable gap to new historic highs on a 'remain' vote... but no, instead the UK populace voted to leave the EU.

The BREXIT has resulted in a massive reversal, with the market swinging from sp'2113 to 2032. The key low of 2025 looks set to be broken under next week.

VIX is showing some hyper upside power, although in the scheme of things, the 25s are still relatively low, 30s look a comfortable upside target next week.


The weekly candle is important to reflect upon, as we have a massive spiky top, highly indicative of an epic failure to break up and away.

Underlying MACD (blue bar histogram) cycle is set for a bearish cross at the Monday open, and by default.. that is suggestive of more powerful downside next week. The lower bollinger band will be in the 1920/30s next week... and is a very valid target.

Regardless of next Monday's open... we're seemingly headed to the 1950/25 zone.... real soon.

Goodnight from London

*the weekend update will appear Sat' @ 12pm EST, and will fully detail the US weekly indexes