Tuesday, 3 May 2016

10am update - opening weakness

US equities open broadly lower, with the sp'500 back in the 2060s - with VIX 16s. First soft target is around 2040.. which should equate to VIX 18/19s. Oil is not helping underlying market mood, -1.6% in the $44s.


sp'daily5


VIX'daily3


Summary

After yesterday's rebound, this morning's open really helps increase the probability that we'll at least hit the 50dma around 2040 within the next few days.

Things only get interesting on a daily close in the 2020s, and that remains a very difficult level to hit in the current down cycle from 2111.

Again, if we do see a break <2033.. that will open up a 38% fib retrace to the 1990s.. before next sig' bounce.

-
notable weakness, TWTR, daily


Continuing to degrade... seemingly headed lower until a 'bargain bidder' appears from the shadows.

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time to shop... back soon