Friday, 15 April 2016

Volatility cools across the week

With US equity indexes breaking new multi-month highs, it was a week where the VIX broadly declined, concluding with a net Friday decline of -0.7% to 13.62, that resulted in a net weekly decline of -11.3%. Near term outlook offers the 15/16s, with the 17/18s looking difficult next week.





*a fourth consecutive net daily decline for the VIX, swinging from a Tuesday high of 16.57 to a Thursday low of 13.38.

US/world capital markets are now pretty damn confident, not least with the renewed notion of a 'Yellen put'.

A break above the key VIX 20 threshold looks out of range next week, and the 30s now look unlikely until mid May at the earliest.

*I remain long VIX from the 14.40s.

more later... on the indexes