Wednesday, 23 March 2016

10am update - opening weakness

US equities open a little lower, but price action remains broadly bullish. Oil will be a key determinant today, currently -1.9% in the $40s, ahead of the EIA report. Metals are under severe pressure, Gold -$30, with Silver -3.6%.


sp'60min



VIX'60min



Summary

*I will cover the metals/miners in next hour. Suffice to note.. another wave of an ongoing retrace appears underway.
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As for equities, with a long weekend ahead, there is little realistic hope for the bears.

Best guess... further upside (despite lousy inventories) in oil to the $43/44s.. and that should result in an equity exhaustion top.. somewhere in the sp'2060/70s.

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notable weakness... GDX, daily2'


That sure is one ugly open for the miners. A retrace to the low $18s looks due by next week.

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back for the oil report at 10.30am.


10.32am.. EIA.. 9.4 million barrel surplus... another monstrous weekly number.

Oil is holding around the early low of -2.0%.

Equity price action suggestive of a rebound.