The week concluded with another wave of rather significant declines, sp -33pts @ 2002, which made for a net weekly decline of 73pts (-3.5%). With VIX settling the week at 21.08... the crash callers will no doubt be crawling out of the woodwork again.
sp'weekly6 - with fib retrace
Summary
*the first closing weekly red candle since early October.
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It has been a long week.. but a VERY interesting one.. lots of strong bounces... but much more significant down waves.
With the VIX back in the low 20s, I truly understand why some will be getting especially bearish for the remainder of the year.. and into early 2015.
However.. a move to sp'2000 was expected.. along with VIX 20s... and now that we're here.. its a case of how long until the next up wave begins.
Best guess.... a few days of chop around sp'2000... and then up.. once the FOMC meeting is out of the way.
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Bonus update on Russia
With oil prices breaking a new cycle low of $57.34, not surprisingly, the Russian market had yet another terrible day...
Russia, monthly
A weekly close on key support of 800, but with an intra day low of 784. The door is now open to the 500s, but a bounce is going to happen if Oil starts a multi-week rebound - which I'm guessing it will.
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Sincerely... have a good weekend
Goodnight from London
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*the weekend update will be on the US weekly indexes