Thursday, 16 October 2014

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are sharply lower, sp -28pts, we're set to open at 1834. Metals are a touch higher, Gold +$2, Oil continues to implode, -1.2%, having lost the $80 threshold. Equity bears look set for another wave lower, breaking <1820, with VIX in the 30s.


sp'daily5b


Summary

Well, here we go again.

Best guess is the above count, a sub'5th, taking us somewhere to the 1815/00 zone, with VIX in the low 30s.

Notable early mover: NFLX, -26% ($116) @ $332, no real support until 310/300 zone.
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Update from Mr C.


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Have a 'fun day'... I guess I could say.
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Jobless claims:  264k.... 'fine'.
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8.31am... Discrepency in the Futures

Clown finance TV talking about Dow -120... they are likely.... WRONG.

I show DIA lower by equivalent of -210/220pts...

I'd defer to the index ETFs every time...

... right now sp -31pts, we're set to open at 1831.


8.42am.. sp -40.. FORTY...  pts, we're set to open at 1822...


8.54am.. Notable strength: CHK +11%.. on an asset sale of $5bn to SW energy.

sp -37pts.... 1825.. probably equates to VIX 30/32


9.06am.. ...set to open...  Dow -250pts... sp -35pts...  R2K -1.6%


9.17am.. sp -28pts, 1934....  its choppy... naturally... but still.. those are strong opening declines.... and yesterdays lows are unlikely to hold.


9.36am.. opening black-fail candle on the VIX, but still, if you assume market will break <1820.. VIX will likely keep pushing higher.