Wednesday 15 October 2014

11am update - battling to hold the opening floor

US equities remain exceptionally weak, with rather extreme price chop. So far the opening floor of sp'1837 is holding. Notably, the VIX opening 30min candle was a black-fail of 28.10, breaking the summer 2012 high.


sp'60min


vix'60min


Summary

Suffice to say... it remains VERY wild out there today. Price action is extremely dynamic... and even though we have some strong indications of a floor... that was the case yesterday.. only to fail.
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The bigger picture is without question... bearish.. to the sp'1650s, with VIX 40s.

However, I'm still concerned of a 2-3 week bounce.. and let there be no doubt, the sp'1950s are very viable on such a bounce.. which would crush the VIX back into the teens.
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Regardless... its already been one hell of a day....


11.30am.. Renewed weakness, but we're still holding the low.. with VIX still some way below the earlier high of 28s.