Wednesday 15 October 2014

10am update - the carnage continues

US equities open sharply lower, slipping to a new cycle low of sp'1837. Perhaps even more important, the VIX broke a new high of 28.10, breaking the summer 2012 high of 27.73. We're back to the style of price action from late 2011.


sp'monthly3


Dow'monthly3


Summary

*rather than get lost in the minor noise, I want to again highlight the giant monthly charts...
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Is there ANYONE still doubting a key intermediate top is now in?

We have clear turns/breaks on all the main indexes, and we're headed for a major multi-month drop...

Primary downside target is now sp'1650s.... with Dow 14700.. R2K low 900s.
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*there remains HIGH threat of a bounce back into the sp'1900s, but clearly, the lower we go... the lower the upside bounce target will be. Even 1950 now looks a damn long way up.
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10.04am... A viable spike floor of sp'1837.. with VIX 28s...


A very long day still ahead though...
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10.15am.. The bounce continues... but the further damage has been done.

It would seem the sp'1650s are now a given... probably late next month... along with VIX 40s.

Incredible times.... 


10.30am.. R2K turns positive,   Transports set to follow.