Wednesday, 26 February 2014

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are moderately higher, sp +5pts, we're set to open around 1850. Metals are on the slide, Gold -$9, with Silver -1.0%. Equity bulls look set for an attempt to break into the 1860s late today/early Thursday, with a VIX that continues to reflect a fearless market.


sp'60min


Summary

*futures: clown finance TV is not surprisingly wrong with their futures 'guess'.

Due to the ramp in the closing minute - and immediately after the Tuesday close, the 'settle' close is a bit confusing.

As ever, I rely on the SPY, DIA, and IWM ETFs to form an estimate on where we will open.
--

So..what about today?

Well, there is no QE-pomo of significance, so the bears need not worry about that. Yet, we have the underlying MACD hourly cycle offering a good 4-6 hours of upside today, possibly even the rest of the week.

Mr Market will largely be awaiting the Yellen though..due to speak to the US Senate tomorrow morning.

--
Video - by Gordon T Long (posted today, but created a few weeks ago)



Mr Long is a bit of a doomer (not that I disagree with hardly anything he says), and is usually worth a listen, if only to be reminded of the bigger macro-economic issues.
-

Notable early movers:  TSLA +4% @ $258

UGAZ: -8%, and for those not using trading stops since the Monday morning peak..it is now real ugly, with a 3 day decline of around -30%
-

9.06am.. we're set to open +4/5pts...close to sp'1850.