Wednesday 26 February 2014

3pm update - chop ahead of the Yellen

Another choppy day for the market, but then...Mr Market is probably just waiting for the Yellen to appear before the US senate tomorrow morning. Considering the hourly index cycles, market is primed for another major wave higher on some 'the recovery remains on track' fedspeak.


sp'60min


Summary

It is somewhat amusing how many are getting overly excited at these sporadic little down waves of 3, 5, 10pts... or even a little more.

Really, anyone getting overly bearish right now, should just go look at the Nasdaq monthly..or the R2K I've been highlighting today.

I suppose some would then counter with 'what about the Dow'?

My response... 'the Dow is +500pts this month..whats bearish about that?'
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3.13pm.. sp'1842/41..  from a pure cyclical perspective..this is not good for the bears. 

...then there is Yellen..and a large chunk of QE.
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price action suggest we hold 1840...  however if fail..then 1830/25...although I realise that sounds like I'm covering all the bases, ..which in this case..is true.

Bring on the days of 20/30pt hourly swings....not this 3,5pt nonsense.


3.31pm.. market making a play to ramp into the close.  Major threat to those bears hoping for a break <1840.  1850s..still viable!


3.41pm..seeking a close 1846/48. 50s look just a touch out of range.

Regardless..bears face huge problems tomorrow, and ALL index cycles favour the bulls for the remainder of the week. 


3.45pm.. hourly index cycle will be offering 1860/65 tomorrow...so long as Yellen doesn't say anything...stupid.