Friday 6 December 2013

3pm update - all must have prizes, yes?

The market has been teasing the bears all week, only for it to end with a rather significant daily gain. A closing hour sell off seems unlikely, and with another large QE next Monday, equity bulls have little to be concerned about for the rest of the year.


sp'daily5


Summary

Hey, can't everyone claim something good from this week? The bears had 4 days of declines..and the bulls saw a significant gain to close the week.

As the dodo would say ...'‘everybody has won, and all must have prizes'.  :)
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re: a possible B' wave.

There remains a small possibility this is just a B' wave bounce - as many recognise.

However, that scenario faces the usual issues of QE, and the broader weekly/monthly cycles are pushing higher anyway.

I certainly still think this market is untradeable on the short side.
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updates into the close..on what has been a pretty interesting week.


3.11pm  The 15min cycle will be offering upside into the closing 10 minutes. A spike to 1808/10 is viable, which would be a net weekly gain for the sp'500.


3.15pm.. first support is now 1800/1798...bulls should be able to hold that, before another wave up.


3.29pm.. 5min cycle looks floored at 1802. A close >1806 ..still viable.

3.35pm.. a clear baby bull flag on the micro 5min cycle...offering a close 1806/08

3.45pm.. 1802...still time for a little spike into the weekend. 


3.52pm..and here comes the closing spike.