Friday, 8 November 2013

11am update - QE fuelled bounce

The main indexes have managed to snap higher, but this is very likely just a 'stupid bounce'. Equity bears should be seeking renewed weakness in the latter part of the day. Metals are significantly lower, with Gold -$21, the higher USD, +0.7% is not going to help!


sp'60min


vix'60min


Summary

Best guess...remains unchanged..a move to the sp'1735/30 zone.

Arguably..a simple short-index trade..with a stop in the 1760/65 zone...with 25/30pts of downside..into early next week.
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if the VIX can turn positive later today...that should clarify of lower levels to come..into next Mon/Tuesday.

Metals are weak.


If GLD fails to hold 122 in the next day or two...big problemo!
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11.30am.. market looks seriously stuck at 1760. As noted earlier..for those interested in index-shorts..now would be the time..with a stop somewhere in the 1760/65 zone.

Downside target remains 1735/30.

*TSLA and TWTR both look increasingly weak, the latter in danger of losing the 40s.