Friday 27 September 2013

Volatility melts higher into the weekend

With the main indexes seeing continued moderate weakness into the weekend, the VIX battled slowly..but consistently higher across the day, settling +10% @ 15.46. Across the week, the VIX gained 17.8%. Despite the weekly gains, VIX 20s do not look viable any time soon.


VIX'60min



VIX'daily3



VIX'weekly


Summary

So, the VIX did make it into the 15s..something which seemed difficult just a few days ago.

Yet..equities sure don't look particularly weak, despite a broad..but very slow decline from the Sept'19 high of sp'1729.

All things considered, even if VIX opens higher next week, it'll be prone to a major fail (be on the look out for a black candle on the hourly/daily charts, early Monday morning).

I just can't envision the VIX back in the 20s any time soon. This market remains powerfully bullish, and with the Fed still throwing $85bn at the US capital markets each month...how are we going to see any significant equity declines?
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more later...on the equity indexes