Despite some lingering talk from some in the doomer bear camp, with the sp'1398 low holding, the big weekly and monthly cycles are unquestionably now outright bullish. The low sp'1500s seem very much within range, and could easily occur as early as February.
sp'weekly
sp'monthly2, Keltner
Summary
Despite being a self titled 'doomster', the market is...what it is. Right now, this market is BULLISH. I could write endlessly on how 'stupid' this is, and how the fundamentals don't support it, but no.
The market..is...what it is.
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Sucking in a few naive bears?
The market still looks prone to a retracement across the next 2-4 days, and we could easily be trading somewhere around 1440/30. A fair few others 'out there' are suggesting a gap fill @ sp'1425.
The rising channel - seen on both the daily/weekly charts, as at this Friday will be 1415. So, even a move into the low 1420s would do NO damage to the bullish outlook.
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I'm considering a 'brief' re-short sometime Tuesday...but I might just sit it out..and wait to take the default trade..which is now to go long.
If we're somewhere around 1435/25 later this week, that will be a 'close your eyes, and hit the long button' moment, even for yours truly.
*Keep in mind that Tuesday we start Q4 earnings reporting, with Alcoa (AA) at the close. So, Mr Market will have a lot to consider across the next few weeks.
Goodnight from London