Tuesday 13 November 2012

12pm update - another bear flag

An early gap lower, but we've again seen the maniacs come on in, and we're now back in a zone of strong resistance. Its going to be extremely difficult for the bulls to break and hold over sp'1400.


sp'daily5



vix'daily


Summary

It does look like we have a very likely bear flag - forming wave'4, on the daily chart. If that is the case, then the next major move lower will be it, for this initial down wave from the QE sp'1474 high.

A multi-week bounce from my target of sp'1345 to 1400/25...remains my best guess.

A break <1300 at ANY time in the days ahead, and I will merely chase the market lower, and would consider a crash as viable.
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Bonus video..Highly recommended viewing, Dr Doom..with CNBC cheerleader lieutenant.. Ms Quick.




*Joe Kernan sure has a way with words..
 'I resemble that you said we're like pollyannas'     and    'I'm going to sue you for definition of character'.

Time for lunch..back in an hour..or two.
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UPDATE 1pm,  looking like the VIX has floored..finally. We've 2 spikes, and its trying to break back above 10MA of 16.88