Thursday 13 September 2012

1pm update - The Bernanke delivers

So, the Bernanke begins QE3. It effectively works out at $40bn of MBS purchases a month, $480bn per year. There is no end date on the purchases I believe, but don't quote me on that.

Regardless, we're getting the upside I was looking for.


$40bn a month for MBS purchasing

Lets give the hourly index cycles the time necessary to cycle higher..and level out.


sp'60min



vix'60min


Summary

Patiently waiting.

Back at 2pm.

UPDATE

Daily chart..getting over-extended...


Target IS indeed hit...seeking a re-short somewhere around 2pm...
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After considering the 15min cycles...

I am now heavy SHORT from sp'1449. I am very pleased with that level, and especially with the VIX in the mid 14s.

Under any basis, this should be a reasonable level to re-short from.

Good luck to everyone out there this afternoon!

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update 1.18pm

sp'15min cycle





From a MACD cycle perspective, we're really crazy high now, the RSI is way overbought.

We're due to pullback on any basis.

The Bernanke is due ta 2.15pm, lets see if he can cause a little upset, and if Mr Market decides to sell the news.

After all, QE3..is done. No more threats, no more teasing..its done*

*yes, they could increase purchases, but for a few months at least, we should not really see any further 'gifts' from the Fed..