Friday, 3 August 2012

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are sp+18pts, we're set to open around 1383. Doubtless this will have a fair few bears rattled, although we did see a similar pre-market yesterday, and we sure didn't close green.

We await the key monthly jobs data...

update: July: 163k vs 100k consensus, rate 8.3%

The raw 163k number is indeed way above most expectations..futures now sp+18pts


Sp'60min



sp'daily5



Summary

I will look to short any opening bounce we get, first target remains sp'1340.

Certainly, 1380 is some soft resistance at least, I would be surprised if we can hold these pre-market gains for more than the opening 30 minutes.

*we also have ISM non-manu' data later at 10am. Will the service sector also show some weakness?

Good wishes for Friday trading!
--

Update 9am.

Those looking to short after the open, looking for a black candle on IWM, and a possible hollow red reversal candle on the VIX.

I find it hard to imagine we can hold over 1380 for very long. I've certainly seen plenty of posters tout new highs of 1425/35, but I don't think so.

So...look to IWM.. in that opening 15/30minutes