Thursday 28 June 2012

11am update - better than expected

The morning is going VERY well for the bears. It looks like minute wave'3 of minor'3 is now underway - this wave can be expected to last at least 3 days, possibly 5-7.

First target is a break of the 1310 H/S neckline. A break of that today now looks very likely, with the MACD cycle still due to go negative cycle in the next 30-90mins.


sp'60min HS formation



vix'60min



Summary

Yesterdays little move looks like a cruel tease to the bulls. There could be a lot of burnt traders in the next few days.

VIX is confirming the move lower, a close in the 22s would be a real bonus, and would suggest 24 very viable by Friday.
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I will hold short at least until 1300/1290..which remains viable as early as late this afternoon.

More later....