Wednesday 11 April 2012

10am Update

Good morning all.

So, the 'clear 5 waves down' was indeed correct. Now we're getting the up move.

The question is....
Is the bounce a minor wave'2 up (with the 5 waves being a '1')..to be followed by a more severe wave'3...

or....
Is the bounce the first wave of a new major wave higher - which would take us to new highs in late April/May.

My 'best guess' right now would be that we WILL see new highs. The reason is that the style and level of the top doesn't make much sense to me. I could easily be wrong, and we'll soon find out, within the next 3-7  trading days.


Sp'60min



First target would be around 1385/90. A move above 1400 by the Friday close would be a real stretch right now.


VIX'60min




Special note on TVIX

TVIX, daily



They had an opportunity to exit, and rather than exit, I can only imagine just how many were adding to their TVIX positions yesterday. A FAILED ETN, and best left alone!

More later...