Good morning. US equity futures are moderately lower, sp -7pts, we're set to open at 2057. USD is +0.2% in the DXY 94.30s. Metals are mixed, Gold +$5, with Silver -0.4%. Oil is -0.5% in the $46s.
So... the messy price action continues.. and we're back on the slide again.
Clearly though, equity bears need to take out yesterday's low of 2053 - where the 50dma is lurking.
Will that occur? Well, market mood sure ain't pretty this morning... so... I'd guess yes.
Worse case: resumed upside to 2090/2100.. before eventually breaking <2K after opex.
In any case... I can't see the bulls breaking up and away this summer..
See Gundlach @ ZH, its like reading my own outlook. Click HERE.
JCP -10%.... the retail upset continues
JWN (Nordstrom) -16% .... truly lousy outlook for old school retail
NFLX -1% in the $86s.. no one wants to buy... a move to 50/45 looks viable.
GDX +1%... as Gold is capturing a little fear bid again.
Japan: ending the week on a downer, -1.4% @ 16142
China: moderate chop, -0.3% @ 2827
Germany: early declines, but currently back to u/c at 9863
Awaiting a quartet of data... not least retail sales and PPI.....
8.31am: retail sales: m/m: 1.3%... better than expected
PPI: m/m +0.2%.. a touch under consensus
sp -5pts.. 2059.... hmm
With the broadly weak PPI number... Gold is under deflationary talk pressure, swinging to -$2.
Broadly though.. metals/miners remain massively strong.
8.43am... sp -2pts.. 2062... as Liesman on CNBC seems visibly relieved that retail actually printed a positive number.
There is NO question, the mainstream will be on suicide watch if sp'1600s this summer/autumn. Frankly, I'm kinda looking forward to that more than anything.
9.00am.. sp -6pts... 2058.. a mere 5pts shy of the low to break.
After 2053... empty air to 2040/39.... then 2033.. and eventually 200dma.. which would be around 2012/10 zone.
Clearly... sustained action <2K still looks out of range for some weeks.