Thursday, 18 April 2019

Into the Easter Break

US equity indexes settled the short week on a mostly positive note, sp +4pts (0.2%) at 2905. Dow +0.4%. Nasdaq comp' +2pts. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.5% and -0.1% respectively.

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VIX'daily3



Summary

It was day of mostly minor chop for equities, seeing an early low of sp'2891, but then clawing back upward into the late afternoon. Volatility was naturally subdued, with the VIX settling -4.0% at 12.09.

*today's price action doesn't fully negate a daily cyclical setup which threatens an overdue 1-2 day mini washout.
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Ascending into the Easter break

Hazy skies to end a warm day

Almost full
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Goodnight from London
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Wednesday, 17 April 2019

Bearish setup into Easter

US equity indexes closed somewhat mixed, sp -6pts (0.2%) at 2900. Nasdaq comp' -0.1%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +1.0% and -1.0% respectively. Near term outlook threatens sig' cooling into the Easter-holiday break.


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VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened on a positive note, with the SPX breaking a new multi-month high of 2918, a mere 22pts (0.75%) shy of the Sept'2018 historic high. This was reflected in the VIX which printed 11.03 in pre-market, and 11.78 in the opening minutes.

There was a clear opening reversal though, with a black 30/60min candle in equities, with a hollow-red reversal in the VIX. The afternoon saw further equity chop, but mostly leaning on the weaker side, with VIX settling +3.4% at 12.60. 


Bearish setup into Easter

The s/t cyclical setup into the Easter-holiday break is bearish. We're due a (daily cycle) bearish macd cross in equities, with a corresponding bullish macd cross due in the VIX. Thursday does inherently favour the bears, and with Pinterest (PINS) and Zoom (ZM) set to list, it should be a pretty interesting end to the short week.


A sidenote...

Whilst the UK Govt' are completely unable (or rather, unwilling) to proceed with BREXIT, they are soon to implement the height of conservative censorship/monitoring measures....

see: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-47960775

It is the case that any such databases will be vulnerable, and offer haxxors opportunity to expose what certain individuals are watching online. How about we start with what sites PM Teresa May likes to visit/participate in?

Whilst VPNs are currently still legal (at least for another few years), the UK clearly isn't that far away from having some kind of internet 'great wall', as is the case in communist China. Ohh, and if you think such government oversight of the internet is a good thing, you're at the wrong blog.
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Flight 666 coming hot, just south of sunspot 2738

Summer warmth is due for the Easter break

Full moon... this 'Good Friday'.
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Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
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Tuesday, 16 April 2019

Tuesday chop

US equity indexes closed on a fractionally positive note, sp +1.5pts at 2907. Nasdaq comp' +0.3%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.1% and +0.2% respectively.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

**Google/Blogger is having issues with uploading ANY charts/pics. I can't be the only one.
issue now FIXED
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US equities opened moderately higher, partly inspired by strength in Asian and European markets.  From a new multi-month high of sp'2916, there was some cooling to fill the opening gap in mid afternoon, with further chop into the close.

Volatility was subdued, with the VIX printing 11.99 (normal market hours), and settling -1.1% at 12.18. The s/t cyclical setup will (at least marginally) favour the bears for the remaining two trading days of the week.

--
Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
--
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For details and the latest offers, see: permabeardoomster.com