Wednesday, 17 April 2019

Bearish setup into Easter

US equity indexes closed somewhat mixed, sp -6pts (0.2%) at 2900. Nasdaq comp' -0.1%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +1.0% and -1.0% respectively. Near term outlook threatens sig' cooling into the Easter-holiday break.


sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened on a positive note, with the SPX breaking a new multi-month high of 2918, a mere 22pts (0.75%) shy of the Sept'2018 historic high. This was reflected in the VIX which printed 11.03 in pre-market, and 11.78 in the opening minutes.

There was a clear opening reversal though, with a black 30/60min candle in equities, with a hollow-red reversal in the VIX. The afternoon saw further equity chop, but mostly leaning on the weaker side, with VIX settling +3.4% at 12.60. 


Bearish setup into Easter

The s/t cyclical setup into the Easter-holiday break is bearish. We're due a (daily cycle) bearish macd cross in equities, with a corresponding bullish macd cross due in the VIX. Thursday does inherently favour the bears, and with Pinterest (PINS) and Zoom (ZM) set to list, it should be a pretty interesting end to the short week.


A sidenote...

Whilst the UK Govt' are completely unable (or rather, unwilling) to proceed with BREXIT, they are soon to implement the height of conservative censorship/monitoring measures....

see: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-47960775

It is the case that any such databases will be vulnerable, and offer haxxors opportunity to expose what certain individuals are watching online. How about we start with what sites PM Teresa May likes to visit/participate in?

Whilst VPNs are currently still legal (at least for another few years), the UK clearly isn't that far away from having some kind of internet 'great wall', as is the case in communist China. Ohh, and if you think such government oversight of the internet is a good thing, you're at the wrong blog.
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Flight 666 coming hot, just south of sunspot 2738

Summer warmth is due for the Easter break

Full moon... this 'Good Friday'.
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Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
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