Monday, 27 October 2014

Closing Brief

US equities saw a day of minor weak chop, sp' -3pts @ 1961. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.7% and -0.1% respectively. Near term outlook is for continued chop into the FOMC announcement of Wednesday afternoon.


sp'60min


Summary

*awaiting TWTR earnings, will be a curious one to watch.
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Frankly, there isn't much to note. Market looks set for further minor chop tomorrow.. and into the Fed press release on Wed' at 2pm.

Best guess, a brief attempt to break and hold the sp'1970s... but failing, with a reversal.... and a monthly close in the sp'1950s.
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For those who need a distraction from the tedious market chop...

... over at Mt Doom....



The cam view is of the nearby fissure. The actual Bardarbunga caldera continues to collapse. Eventually.. the overlying glacier/ice will meet the core magma chamber.... then those in NW Europe should expect some kind of 'Booooooooom'.

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4.09pm.. Update on TWTR.

Results were inline, but the market rats ain't happy, and are selling it hard...



Holding declines of around -10%....   low so far.. -14% in the $42s.

4.15pm.. the CEO of TWTR does a fair attempt to pump the company/stock..but Mr Market ain't buying it...    -11% in the $44s... having lost the 50dma....

next support is not until the $40 threshold.... where there is a clear gap from last earnings.


4.35pm  TWTR -11% in the $44s.... a move to $40 looks pretty likely in the near term.
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Watching clown finance TV (I really should turn it off), some maniac 'expert guest' was talking about how Amazon just needs to be given some more time to become profitable. More time? Bezos has had the best part of a decade.. how many more years does he get?

If there is one company I want to see receive true 'fair value'... it is the AMZN. Not that I'd short it... still seems overly risky.

AMZN remains one to watch.... (along with TWTR, FB) for purely 'entertainment' purposes.
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*I'll post a daily wrap at 8pm EST.

3pm update - falling asleep into the close

US equities have started the week with a day of minor weakness, and there is little reason why the bulls will be able to attain the 1970s this side of the FOMC announcement. Energy prices remain weak, but well above the morning lows.


sp'60min


Summary

Little to add... on what is essentially just a holding pattern ahead of the FOMC.

Notable weakness, miners, ETF of GDX -1.4%.... still set to lose the 20s.
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Urghh... check this out...


Yeah... lets get some 'real investor advice'...
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back at the close.

2pm update - just another hour

US equities remain stuck under the wall of resistance of the sp'1970s. A brief break into the 1970s looks viable... but from there... a reversal of some kind - at least to the 1920s. VIX has cooled, now just +1.5%... a red close is viable.


sp'60min


Summary

Its turning into a real sleepy afternoon.. and here in London city.. its already night.
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Notable weakness, TWTR -2.7%.. which has results at the close.