Am so tired of it all, I didn't even login today until after the close. So we opened lower, and most indexes crawled back up to some extent - although the R2K looks especially weak.
The Dow'30, near term, daily
The Dow is (I believe) the only index still holding its October low trend line. A break below 13,000 at any time would be one initial warning that maybe something interesting is going on. As it is, the only marginally bearish issue is that the daily MACD cycle is rolling over.
Bulls will need tomorrow to break Mondays high of Sp'1314. If Wednesday closes red, then bulls have a potential serious problem..
VIX is still pathetically weak, there is very little fear out there, until we see a break back into the 20s, its all irrelevant noise.
-
Maybe more later..but probably not.
Goodnight
Tuesday, 20 March 2012
Monday, 19 March 2012
When will the Moon Rocket Land?
Today was another smack in the face for most of the bears. Interestingly, even clown channel appears increasingly edgy at the current uptrend. Yet nothing has changed, there is no fear out there. Every little pull back of 3, 5, or 7 pts is being bought up.
IWM was the most decisive index-breaker of the day
A clear break above the 83 resistance level -as I had suggested (and traded upon) last Friday. We certainly closed off the intra-day high, but its still an important close above a key level. The upper bol' of 87 is a very good primary target for those long right now...including yours truly.
SP' weekly...crawling up
Another 5pts on the Sp' today, the upper bol of 1435 is certainly the first soft target, with 1440 the next main target. Will the coming Greek bond interest payment allow the market to gap right over the next main level, solving that issue?
Why stop at sp'1414 ?
That's just it, it makes no sense for the market to stop here. Why would it? Sure, the VIX is low, the VIX 'skew' is at historic highs, but many cycles offer significantly more upside.
Sp' weekly, highlighting the 1440 level
Sp'1440 seems highly probable, and the trend remains very much aiming for 1550.
SP weekly, super bullish outlook, with fibs x2
The 1.6x fib from the recent 1078 October low is...none other than the precise area where the current upper channel line (pink), and the current near term trend line (grey) are both pointing at...1550.
Its something any permabear with serious money needs to consider in the coming days and weeks. As noted a few times already, if we break over 1440 (with consecutive closes over 1455/60), then another 100pts 'free money' is likely. For the bears, that is obviously a truly sickening thought.
For the moment at least...the moon rocket...remains on cruise mode.
Goodnight
IWM was the most decisive index-breaker of the day
A clear break above the 83 resistance level -as I had suggested (and traded upon) last Friday. We certainly closed off the intra-day high, but its still an important close above a key level. The upper bol' of 87 is a very good primary target for those long right now...including yours truly.
SP' weekly...crawling up
Another 5pts on the Sp' today, the upper bol of 1435 is certainly the first soft target, with 1440 the next main target. Will the coming Greek bond interest payment allow the market to gap right over the next main level, solving that issue?
Why stop at sp'1414 ?
That's just it, it makes no sense for the market to stop here. Why would it? Sure, the VIX is low, the VIX 'skew' is at historic highs, but many cycles offer significantly more upside.
Sp' weekly, highlighting the 1440 level
Sp'1440 seems highly probable, and the trend remains very much aiming for 1550.
SP weekly, super bullish outlook, with fibs x2
The 1.6x fib from the recent 1078 October low is...none other than the precise area where the current upper channel line (pink), and the current near term trend line (grey) are both pointing at...1550.
Its something any permabear with serious money needs to consider in the coming days and weeks. As noted a few times already, if we break over 1440 (with consecutive closes over 1455/60), then another 100pts 'free money' is likely. For the bears, that is obviously a truly sickening thought.
For the moment at least...the moon rocket...remains on cruise mode.
Goodnight
Permabear...still long, awaiting sp'1440
Brief update...
IWM breaks above key level. The following weekly chart should scare the hell outta the bears right now.
*The IWM target of 86/87, should equate to sp'1435/45, within the next 2-5 trading days.
more later!
IWM breaks above key level. The following weekly chart should scare the hell outta the bears right now.
*The IWM target of 86/87, should equate to sp'1435/45, within the next 2-5 trading days.
more later!
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